Toll Brothers, Inc.
TOLConsumer Cyclical · Stock · quarterly payer
Forward Yield
0.77%
Annual Dividend
$1.04
Payout Ratio
8%
5-Yr Growth
17.4%
Ex-Date
Oct 9, 2026
Frequency
Quarterly
Summary
As of September 2026, Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) yields 0.77% ($1.04 per share annually), with a blended fair-value estimate of $86.09 — -35% downside, so it screens as overvalued. Dividend safety grade: A (87/100). 5 years of dividend growth.
Is TOL a good dividend stock?
YesToll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) pays a quarterly dividend yielding 0.77% ($1.04/yr), with 5 years of growth and a dividend-safety grade of A. It scores well across payout coverage, growth history and safety — a dependable income holding.
Advantages
- Never cut its dividend on record
- Comfortable payout ratio (8%)
- Strong 17.4% 5-yr dividend growth
- 121% total price return over 5 years
- Top-tier dividend safety score
Risks
- Single-stock concentration risk — diversify
Key Data
- Dividend Yield
- 0.77%
- Payout Ratio
- 8%
- Annual Dividend
- $1.04
- 5-Yr Avg Growth
- 17.4%
- Ex-Dividend Date
- Oct 9, 2026
- Years of Growth
- 5
- Frequency
- quarterly
- Beta
- 1.33
- Market Cap
- $12.5B
- P/E Ratio
- 11.0
- 5-Yr Total Return
- 121%
- 52-Week Range
- $123.15 – $168.36
- Dividend Safety
- A · 87/100
- Ever Cut?
- No
Frequently Asked Questions
TOL Price — Last 12 Months
Daily close
Price Return
1 Year
-1%
3 Years
+88%
5 Years
+121%
52-Week Range
$123.15 – $168.36
Price change over each period (excludes dividends). Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
What is TOL worth?
Overvaluedmedium confidenceOur blended fair-value estimate for Toll Brothers, Inc. is $86.09 per share, versus a market price of $133.06. That implies 35% of downside.
Fair Value
$86.09
Current Price
$133.06
Downside
-35%
Margin of Safety
-55%
How we get there
Discounted cash flow
Discounts projected free cash flow back to today.
Earnings multiple (Graham)
Graham's earnings-multiple formula, anchored to bond yields.
At today's price, the market is pricing in about 5.0% annual free-cash-flow growth. We model -5.0% — so the price already assumes faster growth than we think is likely.
Assumptions: 11.0% discount rate (CAPM), -5.0% stage-1 growth, 2.5% terminal growth, $12.41 EPS, $1.04 annual dividend. Updated weekly.
Fair-value estimates are model output for educational purposes only — not investment advice or a price target.
TOL Dividend Safety Score
Very Safe
SmarterDividends' proprietary score, backtested against which dividends were actually cut over 15+ years (0.78 AUC). It blends a validated cut-risk model (growth streak, cut history) with current payout, cash-flow and debt. Higher is safer · not investment advice.
Dividend Growth
Total dividends per share by year
Dividend History
Full TOL dividend history →| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | — | $0.2600 | regular |
| Apr 10, 2026 | — | $0.2600 | regular |
| Jan 9, 2026 | — | $0.2500 | regular |
| Oct 10, 2025 | — | $0.2500 | regular |
| Jul 11, 2025 | — | $0.2500 | regular |
| Apr 11, 2025 | — | $0.2500 | regular |
| Jan 10, 2025 | — | $0.2300 | regular |
| Oct 11, 2024 | — | $0.2300 | regular |
| Jul 5, 2024 | — | $0.2300 | regular |
| Apr 4, 2024 | — | $0.2300 | regular |
| Jan 11, 2024 | — | $0.2100 | regular |
| Oct 5, 2023 | — | $0.2100 | regular |
| Jul 6, 2023 | — | $0.2100 | regular |
| Apr 5, 2023 | — | $0.2100 | regular |
Income Calculator
At $1.04 / yr per share
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