BHP Group Limited
BHPLFBasic Materials · Stock · semiannual payer
Forward Yield
3.25%
Annual Dividend
$1.33
Payout Ratio
55%
5-Yr Growth
-3.7%
Ex-Date
Mar 5, 2026
Frequency
Semiannual
Summary
As of July 2026, BHP Group Limited (BHPLF) yields 3.25% ($1.33 per share annually), with a blended fair-value estimate of $21.33 — -48% downside, so it screens as overvalued. Dividend safety grade: C (54/100).
Is BHPLF a good dividend stock?
MixedBHP Group Limited (BHPLF) pays a semiannual dividend yielding 3.25% ($1.33/yr), with 0 years of growth and a dividend-safety grade of C. The picture is mixed — the dividend pays, but safety or growth signals are weaker than ideal.
Advantages
- Comfortable payout ratio (55%)
Risks
- Cut its dividend in 2024
- Dividend has been shrinking, not growing
Key Data
- Dividend Yield
- 3.25%
- Payout Ratio
- 55%
- Annual Dividend
- $1.33
- 5-Yr Avg Growth
- -3.7%
- Ex-Dividend Date
- Mar 5, 2026
- Years of Growth
- 0
- Frequency
- semiannual
- Beta
- 0.83
- Market Cap
- $207.9B
- P/E Ratio
- 20.4
- 5-Yr Total Return
- 24%
- 52-Week Range
- $23.74 – $47.02
- Dividend Safety
- C · 54/100
- Ever Cut?
- Yes (2024)
Frequently Asked Questions
BHPLF Price — Last 12 Months
Daily close
Price Return
1 Year
+46%
3 Years
+44%
5 Years
+24%
52-Week Range
$23.74 – $47.02
Price change over each period (excludes dividends). Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
What is BHPLF worth?
Overvaluedhigh confidenceOur blended fair-value estimate for BHP Group Limited is $21.33 per share, versus a market price of $40.91. That implies 48% of downside.
Fair Value
$21.33
Current Price
$40.91
Downside
-48%
Margin of Safety
-92%
How we get there
Discounted cash flow
Discounts projected free cash flow back to today.
Dividend discount
Discounts the future dividend stream back to today.
Earnings multiple (Graham)
Graham's earnings-multiple formula, anchored to bond yields.
At today's price, the market is pricing in about 6.5% annual free-cash-flow growth. We model -2.8% — so the price already assumes faster growth than we think is likely.
Assumptions: 8.5% discount rate (CAPM), -2.8% stage-1 growth, 2.5% terminal growth, $2.01 EPS, $1.33 annual dividend. Updated weekly.
Fair-value estimates are model output for educational purposes only — not investment advice or a price target.
BHPLF Dividend Safety Score
Borderline
SmarterDividends' proprietary score, backtested against which dividends were actually cut over 15+ years (0.78 AUC). It blends a validated cut-risk model (growth streak, cut history) with current payout, cash-flow and debt. Higher is safer · not investment advice.
Dividend Growth
Total dividends per share by year
Dividend History
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | — | $1.0430 | regular |
| Mar 6, 2025 | — | $0.7160 | regular |
| Sep 12, 2024 | — | $1.0420 | regular |
| Mar 7, 2024 | — | $1.0290 | regular |
| Sep 7, 2023 | — | $1.1430 | regular |
| Mar 9, 2023 | — | $1.2860 | regular |
| Sep 1, 2022 | — | $2.5000 | regular |
| Feb 24, 2022 | — | $2.1490 | regular |
| Sep 2, 2021 | — | $2.8570 | regular |
| Mar 4, 2021 | — | $1.4430 | regular |
| Sep 3, 2020 | — | $0.7910 | regular |
| Mar 5, 2020 | — | $0.9410 | regular |
| Sep 5, 2019 | — | $1.1170 | regular |
| Mar 7, 2019 | — | $0.7860 | regular |
Income Calculator
At $1.33 / yr per share
