The Carlyle Group Inc.
CGFinancial Services · Stock · quarterly payer
Forward Yield
3.51%
Annual Dividend
$1.40
Payout Ratio
146%
5-Yr Growth
7.0%
Ex-Date
Sep 30, 2026
Frequency
Quarterly
Summary
As of September 2026, The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) yields 3.51% ($1.40 per share annually), with a blended fair-value estimate of $28.99 — -28% downside, so it screens as overvalued. Dividend safety grade: C (55/100).
Is CG a good dividend stock?
MixedThe Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) pays a quarterly dividend yielding 3.51% ($1.40/yr), with 0 years of growth and a dividend-safety grade of C. The picture is mixed — the dividend pays, but safety or growth signals are weaker than ideal.
Advantages
- Strong 7.0% 5-yr dividend growth
Risks
- Cut its dividend in 2020
- Elevated payout ratio (146%)
- Share price is down over the past 5 years
Key Data
- Dividend Yield
- 3.51%
- Payout Ratio
- 146%
- Annual Dividend
- $1.40
- 5-Yr Avg Growth
- 7.0%
- Ex-Dividend Date
- Sep 30, 2026
- Years of Growth
- 0
- Frequency
- quarterly
- Beta
- 1.83
- Market Cap
- $13.9B
- P/E Ratio
- 40.7
- 5-Yr Total Return
- -29%
- 52-Week Range
- $39.16 – $69.18
- Dividend Safety
- C · 55/100
- Ever Cut?
- Yes (2020)
Frequently Asked Questions
CG Price — Last 12 Months
Daily close
Price Return
1 Year
-25%
3 Years
+46%
5 Years
-29%
52-Week Range
$39.16 – $69.18
Price change over each period (excludes dividends). Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
What is CG worth?
Overvaluedhigh confidenceOur blended fair-value estimate for The Carlyle Group Inc. is $28.99 per share, versus a market price of $40.10. That implies 28% of downside.
Fair Value
$28.99
Current Price
$40.10
Downside
-28%
Margin of Safety
-38%
How we get there
Discounted cash flow
Discounts projected free cash flow back to today.
Dividend discount
Discounts the future dividend stream back to today.
Earnings multiple (Graham)
Graham's earnings-multiple formula, anchored to bond yields.
At today's price, the market is pricing in about 40.0% annual free-cash-flow growth. We model 20.0% — so the price already assumes faster growth than we think is likely.
Assumptions: 12.0% discount rate (CAPM), 20.0% stage-1 growth, 2.5% terminal growth, $0.96 EPS, $1.40 annual dividend. Updated weekly.
Fair-value estimates are model output for educational purposes only — not investment advice or a price target.
CG Dividend Safety Score
Borderline
SmarterDividends' proprietary score, backtested against which dividends were actually cut over 15+ years (0.78 AUC). It blends a validated cut-risk model (growth streak, cut history) with current payout, cash-flow and debt. Higher is safer · not investment advice.
Dividend Growth
Total dividends per share by year
Dividend History
Full CG dividend history →| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| May 18, 2026 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| Feb 13, 2026 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| Nov 10, 2025 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| Aug 18, 2025 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| May 19, 2025 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| Feb 21, 2025 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| Nov 18, 2024 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| Aug 16, 2024 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| May 13, 2024 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| Feb 22, 2024 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| Nov 20, 2023 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| Aug 14, 2023 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
| May 15, 2023 | — | $0.3500 | regular |
Income Calculator
At $1.40 / yr per share
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