Rio Tinto Group
RIOBasic Materials · Stock · semiannual payer
Forward Yield
4.46%
Annual Dividend
$4.02
Payout Ratio
61%
5-Yr Growth
-0.7%
Ex-Date
Mar 6, 2026
Frequency
Semiannual
Summary
As of July 2026, Rio Tinto Group (RIO) yields 4.46% ($4.02 per share annually), with a blended fair-value estimate of $63.57 — -29% downside, so it screens as overvalued. Dividend safety grade: C (54/100).
Is RIO a good dividend stock?
MixedRio Tinto Group (RIO) pays a semiannual dividend yielding 4.46% ($4.02/yr), with 0 years of growth and a dividend-safety grade of C. The picture is mixed — the dividend pays, but safety or growth signals are weaker than ideal.
Advantages
Risks
- Cut its dividend in 2025
- Dividend has been shrinking, not growing
Key Data
- Dividend Yield
- 4.46%
- Payout Ratio
- 61%
- Annual Dividend
- $4.02
- 5-Yr Avg Growth
- -0.7%
- Ex-Dividend Date
- Mar 6, 2026
- Years of Growth
- 0
- Frequency
- semiannual
- Beta
- 0.65
- Market Cap
- $144.9B
- P/E Ratio
- 14.8
- 5-Yr Total Return
- 20%
- 52-Week Range
- $58.40 – $112.58
- Dividend Safety
- C · 54/100
- Ever Cut?
- Yes (2025)
Frequently Asked Questions
RIO Price — Last 12 Months
Daily close
Price Return
1 Year
+44%
3 Years
+44%
5 Years
+20%
52-Week Range
$58.40 – $112.58
Price change over each period (excludes dividends). Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
What is RIO worth?
Overvaluedhigh confidenceOur blended fair-value estimate for Rio Tinto Group is $63.57 per share, versus a market price of $90.15. That implies 29% of downside.
Fair Value
$63.57
Current Price
$90.15
Downside
-29%
Margin of Safety
-42%
How we get there
Discounted cash flow
Discounts projected free cash flow back to today.
Dividend discount
Discounts the future dividend stream back to today.
Earnings multiple (Graham)
Graham's earnings-multiple formula, anchored to bond yields.
At today's price, the market is pricing in about 2.4% annual free-cash-flow growth. We model -2.3% — so the price already assumes faster growth than we think is likely.
Assumptions: 7.5% discount rate (CAPM), -2.3% stage-1 growth, 2.5% terminal growth, $6.09 EPS, $4.02 annual dividend. Updated weekly.
Fair-value estimates are model output for educational purposes only — not investment advice or a price target.
RIO Dividend Safety Score
Borderline
SmarterDividends' proprietary score, backtested against which dividends were actually cut over 15+ years (0.78 AUC). It blends a validated cut-risk model (growth streak, cut history) with current payout, cash-flow and debt. Higher is safer · not investment advice.
Dividend Growth
Total dividends per share by year
Dividend History
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | — | $2.5400 | regular |
| Aug 15, 2025 | — | $1.4800 | regular |
| Mar 7, 2025 | — | $2.2500 | regular |
| Aug 16, 2024 | — | $1.7700 | regular |
| Mar 7, 2024 | — | $2.5800 | regular |
| Aug 10, 2023 | — | $1.7700 | regular |
| Mar 9, 2023 | — | $2.2500 | regular |
| Aug 11, 2022 | — | $2.6700 | regular |
| Mar 10, 2022 | — | $4.7900 | regular |
| Aug 12, 2021 | — | $5.6100 | regular |
| Mar 4, 2021 | — | $4.0200 | regular |
| Aug 6, 2020 | — | $1.5500 | regular |
| Mar 6, 2020 | — | $2.3100 | regular |
| Aug 8, 2019 | — | $2.1200 | regular |
Income Calculator
At $4.02 / yr per share
