Nutrien Ltd.
NTRBasic Materials · Stock · quarterly payer
Forward Yield
2.79%
Annual Dividend
$2.20
Payout Ratio
44%
5-Yr Growth
3.9%
Ex-Date
Sep 29, 2026
Frequency
Quarterly
Summary
As of September 2026, Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) yields 2.79% ($2.20 per share annually), with a blended fair-value estimate of $31.59 — -60% downside, so it screens as overvalued. Dividend safety grade: B (79/100). 7 years of dividend growth.
Is NTR a good dividend stock?
YesNutrien Ltd. (NTR) pays a quarterly dividend yielding 2.79% ($2.20/yr), with 7 years of growth and a dividend-safety grade of B. It scores well across payout coverage, growth history and safety — a dependable income holding.
Advantages
- Never cut its dividend on record
- Comfortable payout ratio (44%)
Risks
- Single-stock concentration risk — diversify
Key Data
- Dividend Yield
- 2.79%
- Payout Ratio
- 44%
- Annual Dividend
- $2.20
- 5-Yr Avg Growth
- 3.9%
- Ex-Dividend Date
- Sep 29, 2026
- Years of Growth
- 7
- Frequency
- quarterly
- Beta
- 1.08
- Market Cap
- $37.4B
- P/E Ratio
- 15.9
- 5-Yr Total Return
- 21%
- 52-Week Range
- $53.03 – $85.36
- Dividend Safety
- B · 79/100
- Ever Cut?
- No
Frequently Asked Questions
NTR Price — Last 12 Months
Daily close
Price Return
1 Year
+34%
3 Years
+27%
5 Years
+21%
52-Week Range
$53.03 – $85.36
Price change over each period (excludes dividends). Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
What is NTR worth?
Overvaluedlow confidenceOur blended fair-value estimate for Nutrien Ltd. is $31.59 per share, versus a market price of $79.47. That implies 60% of downside.
Fair Value
$31.59
Current Price
$79.47
Downside
-60%
Margin of Safety
-152%
How we get there
Dividend discount
Discounts the future dividend stream back to today.
Earnings multiple (Graham)
Graham's earnings-multiple formula, anchored to bond yields.
At today's price, the market is pricing in about 16.5% annual free-cash-flow growth. We model -5.0% — so the price already assumes faster growth than we think is likely.
Assumptions: 9.7% discount rate (CAPM), -5.0% stage-1 growth, 2.5% terminal growth, $4.94 EPS, $2.20 annual dividend. Updated weekly.
Fair-value estimates are model output for educational purposes only — not investment advice or a price target.
NTR Dividend Safety Score
Safe
SmarterDividends' proprietary score, backtested against which dividends were actually cut over 15+ years (0.78 AUC). It blends a validated cut-risk model (growth streak, cut history) with current payout, cash-flow and debt. Higher is safer · not investment advice.
Dividend Growth
Total dividends per share by year
Dividend History
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | — | $0.5500 | regular |
| Mar 31, 2026 | — | $0.5500 | regular |
| Jun 30, 2025 | — | $0.5450 | regular |
| Mar 31, 2025 | — | $0.5450 | regular |
| Dec 31, 2024 | — | $0.5400 | regular |
| Sep 27, 2024 | — | $0.5400 | regular |
| Jun 28, 2024 | — | $0.5400 | regular |
| Mar 27, 2024 | — | $0.5400 | regular |
| Dec 28, 2023 | — | $0.5300 | regular |
| Sep 28, 2023 | — | $0.5300 | regular |
| Jun 29, 2023 | — | $0.5300 | regular |
| Mar 30, 2023 | — | $0.5300 | regular |
| Dec 29, 2022 | — | $0.4800 | regular |
| Sep 28, 2022 | — | $0.4800 | regular |
Income Calculator
At $2.20 / yr per share
