Vale S.A.
VALEBasic Materials · Stock · quarterly payer
Forward Yield
8.87%
Annual Dividend
$1.26
Payout Ratio
121%
5-Yr Growth
-4.7%
Ex-Date
Dec 12, 2025
Frequency
Quarterly
Summary
As of July 2026, Vale S.A. (VALE) yields 8.87% ($1.26 per share annually), with a blended fair-value estimate of $13.89 — -2% downside, so it screens as fairly valued. Dividend safety grade: C (51/100). 1 years of dividend growth.
Is VALE a good dividend stock?
MixedVale S.A. (VALE) pays a quarterly dividend yielding 8.87% ($1.26/yr), with 1 year of growth and a dividend-safety grade of C. The picture is mixed — the dividend pays, but safety or growth signals are weaker than ideal.
Advantages
Risks
- Cut its dividend in 2024
- Elevated payout ratio (121%)
- Dividend has been shrinking, not growing
- Very high yield can signal elevated risk
- Share price is down over the past 5 years
Key Data
- Dividend Yield
- 8.87%
- Payout Ratio
- 121%
- Annual Dividend
- $1.26
- 5-Yr Avg Growth
- -4.7%
- Ex-Dividend Date
- Dec 12, 2025
- Years of Growth
- 1
- Frequency
- quarterly
- Beta
- 0.73
- Market Cap
- $60.0B
- P/E Ratio
- 21.4
- 5-Yr Total Return
- -26%
- 52-Week Range
- $9.36 – $17.94
- Dividend Safety
- C · 51/100
- Ever Cut?
- Yes (2024)
Frequently Asked Questions
VALE Price — Last 12 Months
Daily close
Price Return
1 Year
+38%
3 Years
+8%
5 Years
-26%
52-Week Range
$9.36 – $17.94
Price change over each period (excludes dividends). Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
What is VALE worth?
Fairly valuedlow confidenceOur blended fair-value estimate for Vale S.A. is $13.89 per share, versus a market price of $14.19. That implies the stock is roughly fairly priced.
Fair Value
$13.89
Current Price
$14.19
Gap
-2%
Margin of Safety
-2%
How we get there
Dividend discount
Discounts the future dividend stream back to today.
Earnings multiple (Graham)
Graham's earnings-multiple formula, anchored to bond yields.
At today's price, the market is pricing in about 15.6% annual free-cash-flow growth. We model -0.0% — so the price already assumes faster growth than we think is likely.
Assumptions: 7.9% discount rate (CAPM), -0.0% stage-1 growth, 2.5% terminal growth, $0.66 EPS, $1.26 annual dividend. Updated weekly.
Fair-value estimates are model output for educational purposes only — not investment advice or a price target.
VALE Dividend Safety Score
Borderline
SmarterDividends' proprietary score, backtested against which dividends were actually cut over 15+ years (0.78 AUC). It blends a validated cut-risk model (growth streak, cut history) with current payout, cash-flow and debt. Higher is safer · not investment advice.
Dividend Growth
Total dividends per share by year
Dividend History
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | — | $0.6680 | regular |
| Aug 13, 2025 | — | $0.3470 | regular |
| Mar 10, 2025 | — | $0.3730 | regular |
| Dec 12, 2024 | — | $0.0910 | regular |
| Aug 5, 2024 | — | $0.3710 | regular |
| Mar 12, 2024 | — | $0.5440 | regular |
| Nov 22, 2023 | — | $0.4690 | regular |
| Aug 14, 2023 | — | $0.4060 | regular |
| Mar 14, 2023 | — | $0.3540 | regular |
| Dec 13, 2022 | — | $0.0560 | regular |
| Aug 12, 2022 | — | $0.6870 | regular |
| Mar 9, 2022 | — | $0.7250 | regular |
| Sep 23, 2021 | — | $1.5590 | regular |
| Jun 24, 2021 | — | $0.4360 | regular |
Income Calculator
At $1.26 / yr per share
